Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 48.674841 55.723618 63.043202 71.180178 79.942196 89.064388 99.250438
2024-10-27 36.400719 46.060331 56.680485 69.091697 83.071499 98.214381 115.741646
2024-11-03 31.793305 43.187870 56.216462 71.945712 90.165043 110.371876 134.248455
2024-11-10 27.861254 40.401463 55.253972 73.695501 95.560244 120.279010 149.968274
2024-11-17 23.429794 36.406772 52.345754 72.695980 97.371925 125.775596 160.408175
2024-11-24 19.782929 32.947317 49.702055 71.663354 98.845950 130.642628 169.927838
2024-12-01 17.220788 30.606875 48.207476 71.819343 101.566557 136.838606 180.897917
2024-12-08 15.061494 28.565353 46.893749 72.027046 104.211871 142.846263 191.580346
2024-12-15 13.369439 26.995675 46.052224 72.713055 107.355826 149.392985 202.872497
2024-12-22 11.392898 24.767122 44.126133 71.821556 108.385521 153.271749 210.893172
2024-12-29 10.295012 23.777290 43.837789 73.038816 112.060034 160.381662 222.829835
2025-01-05 9.402588 23.015994 43.802851 74.545772 116.077893 167.909053 235.289690
2025-01-12 7.991706 21.227254 42.166807 73.797425 117.142010 171.778596 243.344624
2025-01-19 6.474351 19.025051 39.742095 71.809921 116.465978 173.384596 248.561078
2025-01-26 6.177257 19.060131 40.754231 74.711182 122.340670 183.349351 264.222761
2025-02-02 5.684498 18.646795 41.016814 76.505571 126.713402 191.400326 277.518297
2025-02-09 4.726594 17.137946 39.408907 75.481944 127.187489 194.389867 284.431210
2025-02-16 3.889047 15.722331 37.840185 74.424809 127.546396 197.182659 291.065474
2025-02-23 3.338455 14.847950 37.115182 74.584510 129.559030 202.115734 300.414998
2025-03-02 2.859566 14.047087 36.454636 74.797162 131.617257 207.096140 309.827473
2025-03-09 2.495281 13.461736 36.130402 75.499479 134.351153 212.966837 320.392747
2025-03-16 1.998383 12.379593 34.817608 74.586776 134.738953 215.693719 326.899420
2025-03-23 1.777085 12.047251 34.873294 75.832963 138.222614 222.560843 338.773984